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Which model for which task? A decision guide

"Token economics" showed how model choice drives cost. "Open source vs. proprietary AI models" settled the control question. What's been missing: how to combine both dimensions with a third - the task's reasoning needs - into a concrete model choice.

Four examples - worth remembering

Try it yourself: the decision step by step

Step 1

Does the task need reasoning?

Multi-step and error-prone → consider a reasoning model. Simple and clearly scoped → a fast standard model is usually enough.

Why "the best model" is the wrong question

There's no single best model - just like in "AI vs. automation: what fits where?", the right question isn't "can it do that?" but "does it fit this specific task?". A model that's ideal for a complex one-off request can be the most expensive and slowest choice for a thousand simple requests a day.

Criterion 1: does the task need reasoning?

"Why some AI answers take longer" explains the difference: a reasoning model checks intermediate steps before answering - valuable for multi-step, error-prone tasks, but slower and more expensive per request. For simple, clearly scoped tasks (classification, a short summary), a fast standard model is usually the better choice.

Criterion 2: how high is the volume?

"Token economics: how AI costs actually arise" shows that at low volume, the price difference between models barely matters. At scale - hundreds of thousands of similar requests a day - the smallest model that reliably solves the task often wins, not the most capable one.

Criterion 3: how sensitive is the data, how much control do you need?

"Open source vs. proprietary AI models" settled the procurement question: run an open model yourself (full data sovereignty, more operational effort) or access it via a provider's API (less effort, data leaves your own house). With highly sensitive data, that trade-off often tips toward control, even when the operational effort is higher.

The three criteria combined

A concrete recommendation only emerges from the interplay: a simple, high-volume task with non-critical data argues for a small, fast model via API. A complex, infrequent task with non-critical data argues for a large reasoning model - the cost per request barely matters at low volume. Highly sensitive data often tips the choice toward a self-hosted, open model regardless of task and volume. That's why many companies don't run a single model, but several - matched to the task.

Why this matters for you as a decision-maker

Model choice isn't a one-off decision for the whole company - it's a question that comes up again for every use case. Going through all three criteria systematically, instead of reflexively reaching for the best-known or most expensive model, saves on both fronts: cost at high volume and control with sensitive data.

The key points

  • There's no single best model - the right question is which model fits a specific task.
  • Three criteria determine the choice together: reasoning needs, request volume, and data sovereignty/control.
  • At high volume, the smallest model that reliably solves the task often wins - at low volume, price barely matters.
  • Highly sensitive data often tips the choice toward a self-hosted, open model, regardless of task and volume.
  • Many companies don't run a single model, but several - matched to the specific task.

Quick check: did that make sense?

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Which model is usually the better choice at very high request volume, according to this module?

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